The number and size of wildfires this summer will depend on the weather, experts say.
A firefighter walks past a burned out house and car from the Corral Fire off of Bernard Road in Tracy, Calif., on Sunday, June 2, 2024.
While the Corral Fire, which sent two burned firefighters to hospitals, torched only one home, fire officials warn that flames could push into residential areas in many Bay Area neighborhoods bordering grasslands. The East Bay hills, San Jose’s Santa Teresa and Blossom Hill neighborhoods, communities around Mount Diablo, and uplands west of Palo Alto and Stanford University are some areas where an out-of-control grass fire could set homes ablaze, Carter said.
The Bay Area is also expected to see normal conditions in September, with one major fire likely or none, according to the National Fire Center. For coastal areas and the Sierra, heavy buildup of dried-out grass and shrubs and expected warm, dry weather in September may result in more than the usual number of significant fires, the center reported.
The coastal Pacific Ocean is moving from a strong El Niño into a moderate La Niña temperature pattern, which in past years has featured less-than-usual lightning and sent cool breezes sweeping inland from the Northern California coast in summer, keeping prolonged hot periods to a minimum, said U.S. Forest Service fire meteorologist Jeff Tonkin.
The vast majority of wildfires are human-caused, most of them by accident, such as when people create sparks by mowing, drag connecter chains from RVs, or fail to douse campfires, according to Cal Fire. PeopleCal Fire is now conducting intensive firefighter training and vegetation reduction, as staff will soon be too busy fighting fires, Armstrong said.
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