Fed Rate Cut Expected Despite Inflationary Pressures

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Fed Rate Cut Expected Despite Inflationary Pressures
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Market traders are almost certain the Federal Reserve will lower its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point on Wednesday, despite ongoing inflation concerns. The decision comes as the economy shows signs of strength, with a 3% growth rate and a robust labor market. However, the potential rate cut is facing scrutiny, with some experts, including former Kansas City Fed President Esther George, advocating for a wait-and-see approach.

Futures market traders are pricing in a near-certainty that the Fed on Wednesday will lower its benchmark overnight borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point.

That's not what is likely to happen, however, when the Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank's rate-setting entity, announces its policy decision Wednesday. , the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, ticked higher in November to 2.5%, or 2.9% on the core reading that excludes food and energy.and the committee. Former Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren also recently told CNBC that he would not cut at this meeting.

One of those tools is the dot-plot matrix of individual members' expectations for rates over the next few years. That will be updated Wednesday along with the rest of the Summary of Economic Projections that will include informal outlooks for inflation, unemployment and gross domestic product.

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