Dallas' Dak Prescott turned in his second consecutive top-three QB finish in Week 8. He’s now scored 24.9 and 29.1 points across his past two games — his two highest-scoring weeks of the season. The Eagles are a tough matchup, but they’ve allowed the seventh-most adjusted fantasy points per drop-back (0.
Indianapolis Colts running back Zack Moss reaches for a one-yard touchdown run against the New Orleans Saints during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Oct. 29, 2023 in Indianapolis. Cleveland Browns wide receiver Amari Cooper is tripped up by Seattle Seahawks safety Quandre Diggs in the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Oct. 29, 2023, in Seattle.
— Sam Howell just keeps putting up numbers. He had a career-best 32 points against the Eagles last week and now leads all active quarterbacks with 38.5 pass attempts per game. Given that the Commanders are passing at the second-highest rate over expectation , Howell merits starting consideration against a Patriots defense that has allowed the 10th-highest passing success rate and the sixth-highest EPA per drop-back .— C.J. Stroud has come down to Earth over his past three outings with 14.
— Will Levis could not have asked for a better debut. He finished as the QB6 because of 238 yards, four touchdowns, and no turnovers. It’s more than risky to play him on a short week in Pittsburgh, but the Steelers have allowed the fourth-most deep yards in the NFL, per Next Gen Stats. He’s a lotto ticket.— Geno Smith is the only quarterback that we’d normally consider who I’m absolutely staying away from in Week 9.
— Aaron Jones has to produce eventually. Right? Jones actually had his highest snap share of the season last week, but that translated to just 8.8 points. Still, he received 17 adjusted opportunities and a 12.5% target share — numbers that should lead to a better fantasy outing against a Rams defense that’s middle of the pack against the run.— Alexander Mattison had a touchdown chance taken by Cam Akers last week, but still played 62.3% of the snaps compared to Akers’ 21.7%.
— Zach Charbonnet . With Ken Walker banged up, Charbonnet played a career-high 56.4% of snaps, turning five carries into 53 yards and catching both of his targets in the process. Baltimore is great against the run, and Walker could get more run this week, but at the very least we know the rookie is good.
— Miles Sanders is clearly Chubba Hubbard’s backup. I wouldn’t cut him , but there is surely a better name on the waiver wire. — Gabriel Davis played a different role with Dawson Knox out last week. It did him a lot of favors fantasy-wise, as he turned in his best performance of the season. He tied Stefon Diggs for the team lead in target share and route participation . If you’re running a route on 100% of Josh Allen’s drop-backs, you have a spot in my fantasy lineup, especially with Buffalo’s 23-point implied team total this week.
— Drake London got banged up last week and consequently only played 54.5% of Atlanta’s snaps. If he’s cleared for Week 9, London would be in a good spot to produce against a Vikings secondary that allows the third-highest target rate and the sixth-most yards per route run to wide receivers. — Tyler Lockett & Jaxon Smith-Njigba both had solid Week 8 performances, albeit through different lanes. Lockett had his second-highest target share of the season and tied his season high with eight receptions, while Smith-Njigba caught a touchdown for the second consecutive week. Baltimore has allowed the second-fewest adjusted fantasy points per target to wide receivers, but there’s enough upside in a negative game script for both players to deliver FLEX-worthy weeks.
— Tank Dell was quiet in his return, but notably ran a route on 92.3% of CJ Stroud’s drop-backs. He flashed a ton of potential earlier in the season and has upside against a Buccaneers defense allowing the most slot points per game , per Razzball.— Marquise Brown scored a late touchdown to salvage his fantasy performance, but he’s now been held to fewer than 50 yards in three consecutive games after eclipsing that mark each of the previous four weeks.
— Romeo Doubs & Christian Watson have a sneaky-tough matchup against the Rams and haven’t been anything close to reliable this season. Doubs has touchdown upside, and Watson is a threat to break off a big play, but there are too many viable WRs this week to warrant trusting them.— Jake Ferguson is coming off his best fantasy performance of the season and faces an Eagles defense allowing the second-most adjusted fantasy points per target to tight ends.
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