Using his No. 1 fantasy baseball rule as a guide, the U-T's Eddie Brown tells you which players to draft — and avoid — in your draft
In sports and gambling there, there is a belief that a player who is performing better than normal will continue to play well.
Also in gambling, we call the inversion of the “hot-hand” fallacy the “Monte Carlo” fallacy. It’s named after a 1913 incident during a game of roulette in a Monte Carlo casino where black came up 26 straight times. Gamblers lost millions of francs that night, reasoning incorrectly that the inconceivable streak was causing an imbalance in the randomness of the wheel, and that it had to be followed by a long stretch of red.
Distinguishing the two will make all the difference in establishing a foundation for your fantasy squad.
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