Every week in this space I look at the performances that surprised us, for better or worse. Who was unexpectedly good, and why? Who dramatically disappointed us, and how? The goal is to figure out what we can trust in going forward.
Now that we’re at the midpoint of the fantasy season, it’s time to take a broader view of some players we largely got wrong on draft day.
We all bring a set of assumptions and biases to the draft that can cause us to overlook or ignore features of a player profile that give crucial information. One of my big ones is ageism. I’m famously anti-players-at-or-near-30 years of age. By going through the biggest ADP surprises from the first half of the season, we’ll hopefully identify other patterns that can help us avoid mis-categorizing players in the future.
Thielen may yet disappoint his managers as soft-tissue injuries aren’t uncommon in older receivers. So if you’re thinking about a two-for-one trade offer, sweetening the deal with Thielen at his peak isn’t the worst idea.Mostert has posted rushing totals of 46 and 45 yards the last two weeks, put up a total dud vs. Buffalo in Week 4 and isfantasy's RB5 on the season. His touchdown production has slowed lately, too, but is still higher than most running backs.
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