When NFL players are dealing with issues like hamstring soreness, the midweek context clues can say a lot about what will become a player on game day.
Like, when Aaron Jones leaves the field late in a game clutching his hamstring, as he did last week, we have been conditioned to assume he won’t play the next week, or if he does, won’t play as well, or as much.
That scenario opens the door for other players. We also have learned over the years that when coaches play coy with details involving an injury, especially when a player isn’t involved in practices, that too is a bad sign for their availability — as has been the case this week with Austin Ekeler. We don’t have data regarding when a coach says this on Wednesday, then a player does that on Sunday. Our approach is completely based on what past experiences have taught us. And that conditioning says neither of these players will play. Now, all that said, this isn’t an exact science — obviously — so stay up to date with the news, but you can still prep for what we consider the most likely outcome. That preparation has us using A.J. Dillon and Joshua Kelley. We expect both to absorb a large chunk of the workload. Neither matchup is great, but we’re not worried about matchups when we expect the type of volume we’re expecting. Take our word for it. The Madman might still be historically ignorant, but we’re no longer a 20-something, and we have learned a little about fantasy football patterns along the way.USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Con He looked better than expected against the Jaguars. And the Colts aren’t good enough to run away and hide, even from the Texans, so Indy should play aggressively for much of the game.Ton of volume last week, and now gets a defense that got shredded on the ground in its opener. A marginal improvement in yardage efficiency plus a score — both easily possible — and he delivers a big day.We don’t expect De’Andre Hopkins to play. NWI doubled the targets of Treylon Burks last week, and we expect him to led the way among Tennessee WRs in a juicy matchup against a vulnerable Chargers secondary.Diontae Johnson is going to miss time with a hamstring issue. Pickens might be a better WR. And not every team is going to make the Steelers’ offense look as bad as it did vs. the 49ers.Last week was weird — he didn’t need to throw. But this week he faces a brutal defense that will be itching to prove the Jets are still a force without Aaron Rodgers. We’re not giving up on Dak, but we’re not playing him.Last week, this guy got 20-plus carries and scored a touchdown, yet didn’t even reach 10 fantasy points. That is an amazing degree of inefficiency. He has to play his way back into our lineup — but we’re expecting him to play his way onto our waiver wire.We know, we know, the Jonathan Taylor void must be filled. But Deon Jackson isn’t going to disappear just because Moss is playing this week, and Richardson is going to remain a large part of the ground game.This hurts, because his ceiling was so, so high. Without Aaron Rodgers, though, he is just a really, really good WR option. And against a top-tier defense that doesn’t fear the QB, maybe lose the “really, really.”
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