‘Fallen Angels’ Fall Short of Expectations

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‘Fallen Angels’ Fall Short of Expectations
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The worst-case scenarios for corporate-bond downgrades to junk haven’t materialized despite the pandemic shutdowns

The pandemic’s economic shutdowns prompted dire warnings that record volumes of corporate bonds could lose their investment-grade ratings and become what investors call fallen angels. So far, though, the fall hasn’t been as extreme as predicted.

While 2020 has by some estimates already seen a record value of corporate bonds downgraded to junk status, fallen angels are still falling short of the worst-case estimates many analysts predicted this spring. And the overall share of investment-grade corporate debt rated triple-B—the...

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