Get the latest Falcons vs. Buccaneers predictions ahead of Sunday's NFC South clash. Free NFL picks for October 27.
Meeting for the second time in four games, the Atlanta Falcons would be foolish to go away from what worked well in the opener, which was giving the ball to Bijan Robinson.
Kickoff for this divisional matchup is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, with the game airing on FOX.Shops have tested the Falcons at both -3 and -1.5 for stretches, but the consensus spread as of Friday is Atlanta -2.5, including at BetMGM. With the number below a field-goal margin, I like the road favorite, and I also wouldn’t be surprised if this spread moved back to Atlanta -3 by Sunday.
Additionally, I also value Robinson posting his two highest PFF run grades the past two weeks, and him putting together an impressive three-game stretch consisting of 259 rushing yards and 5.4 yards per carry dating back to the Week 5 date with the Bucs.As noted, I’m anticipating both offenses to have success on Sunday. Atlanta and Tampa Bay respectively rank 22nd and 28th in points allowed per game and 23rd and 22nd in EPA per play allowed. Additionally, neither has impressed in the trenches.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
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