Fact Check: Is Trump three times more favored to win 2024 than he was 2016?

Former Trump security official claimed on CNN the former president's chances have tripled since 2016.

, claimed that betting markets had Trump at a 30 percent chance of winning the presidency in 2023, compared to nine percent in 2016.is stronger than he was politically in 2016," Taylor said.

According to betting comparison site oddschecker, multiple sites have given Trump odds of 9/4, 15/8, and 23/10 which produces a probability of winning between 30-36 percent. The results were not uniform though. Maxim Lott, the creator of electionbettingodds.com, consistently recorded Trump at above nine percent from early 2016 onward, based on live odds from FTX.com, Betfair.com, PredictIt.org, Smarkets.com, and Polymarket.com, peaking at 35.6 percent in September of that year.

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