Exporting Internal Strife, Navigating Regional Tensions and Steadily Looking East

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 Exporting Internal Strife, Navigating Regional Tensions and Steadily Looking East
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Analysis - More than a generation since it won its hard-fought independence, Eritrea is synonymous with Isaias Afwerki. For better. Or for worse.

More than a generation since it won its hard-fought independence, Eritrea is synonymous with Isaias Afwerki. For better. Or for worse.on May 24, 2024, the country stood amid a complex web of regional tensions and internal strife. This milestone comes against the backdrop of Eritrea 's military interventions in neighbouring states, diplomatic engagements, and ongoing internal conflicts.

In what could be interpreted as a reference to recent clashes between supporters and opponents of the regime, notably involving the youth-based Birged N'Hamedu, the president conveyed gratitude to compatriots residing abroad for their unwavering patriotism, particularly during challenging periods, notably the preceding year. He encouraged them to persist in their efforts.

Initially, during the Tigray conflict, Tigrayans rallied behind and participated in solidarity campaigns with Birged N'Hamedu. Furthermore, certain Eritrean factions advocating for the Tigray-Tigrinya ideology, proposing the unification of Tigray and Eritrea as one nation, offered support. Consequently, the regime and certain Eritrean factions have labelled Birged N'Hamedu as a movement backed by the TPLF.

The regime's relationship with China and Russia has been notably amicable. A delegation from the Russian navy, led by Vice Admiral Vladimir Kasatonov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, undertook a five-day visit to Eritrea's Massawa port in April of this year. Despite speculation surrounding the potential establishment of a logistical base in Eritrea, Russia's primary focus appears to be on the development of the deeper port in Port Sudan.

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