According to researchers at the University of Gothenburg, the current climate models utilized by the UN's IPCC and other organizations to forecast climate change are inaccurate in predicting the Arctic's future. They contend that the pace of warming in the Arctic will surpass projections significant
Due to the harsh conditions in the Arctic, relatively few observations are made in that part of the world. Credit: Céline Heuzé, the current climate models utilized by the UN’s IPCC and other organizations to forecast climate change are inaccurate in predicting the Arctic’s future. They contend that the pace of warming in the Arctic will surpass projections significantly.
Two recent scientific studies involving researchers from the University of Gothenburg compared the results of the climate models with actual observations. They concluded that the warming of the Arctic Ocean will proceed at a much faster rate than projected by the climate models.“These climate models underestimate the consequences of climate change. In reality, the relatively warm waters in the Arctic regions are even warmer, and closer to the sea ice.
The Arctic is an important region for projecting what the future intensity of global warming will be. Its sea ice contributes an albedo effect – a white surface that reflects sunlight away from the planet. If the ice were to disappear, more solar radiation would reach the Earth.
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