Expected Goals stats tell the very real story after Nottingham Forest 1 Newcastle United 2 nufc
Aston Villa 3.45 Bournemouth 0.50 Chelsea 1.90 v Everton 1.65 As you can see, in the NUFC match, Newcastle United had a five times bigger expected goals rating than Forest and simply reflects what we all saw. Newcastle completely dominant with far more and better chances than the home side, who were lucky to only lose by one goal.
Aston Villa were the only team to have a bigger disparity with their opponent than Newcastle with Forest, Villa winning that game 3-0. Interesting to see Chelsea v Everton was a pretty fair 2-2 result, based on the expected goals data. Arsenal deserving to beat Palace but the 4-1 scoreline flattering them, I saw the highlights and some superb Arsenal finishing rather than them having loads more clear chances than Palace.
Southampton needed two late goals to get a point against Tottenham but those expected goals stats showing that overall it was Spurs lucky to get the 3-3 draw based on clear chances. No wonderWhilst Wolves 2.76 ended up losing 4-2 to Leeds and again, having watched the highlights, Wolves had far more / better opportunities than Leeds but their finishing let them down, the opposite for the away side.
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