Win or lose, there are several indicators that should cause those who want more bonds and tax increases to pause. But they probably won’t.
Governor of California Gavin Newsom speaks during a press conference on Wednesday, Jan. 3, 2023, at the Los Angeles General Medical Center to urge support for Proposition 1 on the March 5, 2024 ballot. The proposition would overhaul California’s mental health funding system, and a $6.4 billion bond will expand access for hundreds of thousands of Californians, fund substance abuse treatment, and help get those suffering from mental health crises off the streets and into care.
To understand why Prop. 1 is struggling, let’s review what it would do. According to the non-partisan Legislative Analyst, Proposition 1 would change the Mental Health Services Act that was passed by voters in 2004, putting the focus on how the money from the act can be used. Second, it seeks approval of a $6.38 billion bond to build more places for mental health care and drug or alcohol treatment and more housing for people with mental health, drug, or alcohol challenges.
Also listed on the ballot label in opposition was the Howard Jarvis Taxpayer Association. Californians who didn’t have the time to read the 60-plus pages of fine print about the measure in the Voter Information Guide may have seen HJTA’s recommendation and decided right then to vote no. Finally, the fact that Gov. Newsom put a great deal of his political capital behind the measure might not have been the big positive influence that pundits believed. While his overall approval rating reached a high of 64% during COVID, it is now below 50%.
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