European Shifts: A Roundup of Unseen Developments

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European Shifts: A Roundup of Unseen Developments
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This article highlights significant but often overlooked developments in Europe, including the fallout from wiretaps involving the former Portuguese Prime Minister and current European Council President António Costa, along with broader shifts in asylum rules, speech laws, and energy policies amidst rising extremism and economic pressures.

With so many US headlines competing for attention, it's easy to miss how quickly the ground is shifting abroad. Across Europe , governments are rewriting asylum rules, tightening speech laws, reviving conscription, expanding nuclear power, and testing the limits of AI regulation — all while navigating rising extremism, economic pressure, and a security environment more volatile than at any point since the Cold War.

This roundup pulls together 15 major European stories you likely didn't see in your feed, along with the context behind them:António Costa, the former prime minister of Portugal and newly appointed president of the European Council — one of the EU's most powerful roles — was wiretapped without proper judicial authorization during a corruption probe. Portuguese media report that Costa appears in 22 intercepted conversations, but prosecutors failed to submit them to the Supreme Court within the required 48-hour deadline. Some recordings were withheld for five years for"undisclosed reasons." As a result, the wiretaps can no longer be used as evidence. The investigation, known as Operation Influencer, centers on alleged corruption related to lithium mining concessions, a data center project, and a hydrogen power plant during Costa's tenure as Prime Minister. He resigned in November 2023 after police raided government offices and his official residence, prompting snap elections. Though never charged, Costa was unanimously elected president of the European Council just seven months later.The European Council president coordinates policy for all 27 EU leaders, effectively setting the bloc's collective stance on Ukraine, sanctions, digital regulation, and trade negotiations with Washington. That makes the integrity of the role essential to how the EU navigates major geopolitical decisions. Portugal also holds Europe's largest lithium reserves, a resource crucial to the EU's electric vehicle supply chain and its efforts to reduce dependence on China. The contracts at the center of Costa's probe are thus geopolitically significant, sitting squarely inside a strategic sector the West is scrambling to secure. Despite an unresolved investigation that had toppled his government just seven months earlier, EU leaders unanimously elevated Costa. Because prosecutors committed a"gross error" by failing to follow basic judicial procedure, key wiretaps are now inadmissible, the probe may drift indefinitely, and Costa still lacks access to his own case file.Ireland has announced new immigration restrictions, with officials citing the need to slow population growth. The country's population increased 1.6% last year — seven times the EU average — and asylum claims hit a record 18,651 in 2024. Under the new rules, asylum seekers with jobs must contribute 10–40% of their income toward state accommodation costs. Family reunification applicants must now earn at least the median national wage and prove they have suitable housing. Citizenship requirements for refugees will rise from three to five years of residency, and the government can now revoke asylum status for those deemed a security threat or convicted of serious crimes. Justice Minister Jim O'Callaghan said nearly 90% of asylum applicants arrived from the UK, and that Ireland must prepare for"knock-on effects" from Britain's own recent crackdowns. Tensions over immigration have fueled riots in recent years, including clashes last month in Dublin.Ireland has long been seen as one of Europe's most welcoming countries, shaped by its own history of emigration. These restrictions consequently mark a sharp shift, and the framing is unusually explicit. Officials aren't just talking about managing asylum claims. They're citing population growth itself as a problem to be controlled. Unlike much of Europe, Ireland's far-right flopped in the 2024 elections. Not a single candidate won a seat, and just 6% of voters ranked immigration as their top concern. But the pressure is rising outside the ballot box. The 2023 Dublin riot was the worst in modern Irish history, and arson attacks on suspected asylum housing have become increasingly common. Nearly 90% of asylum seekers now enter Ireland via Northern Ireland — the spillover of Britain's harsher asylum policies crossing the open border. Whether it wants to or not, Dublin is absorbing the consequences of London's crackdowns. The government isn't reacting to a far-right electoral surge so much as it's trying to prevent one. Centrist governments across Europe have been hardening immigration policies in response to rising nativist movements, and Ireland is now following that pattern.A Berlin court has ruled that German police acted unlawfully when they shut down a pro-Palestine conference in April 2024. Officers in riot gear descended on the venue and cut the power shortly after the Palestine Congress began, preventing any of the speeches from being heard or livestreamed. Police justified the shutdown by predicting that criminal statements — such as incitement to hatred or use of symbols of"terrorist" organizations — would be made. But the court found"no evidence of any criminal offences related to public expression" and called the action"disproportionate." One of the scheduled speakers, British Palestinian doctor Ghassan Abu Sittah, was stopped at Berlin's airport and told to return to the UK. The conference was organized in part by Jewish Voice, a group of Jewish peace activists critical of Israeli policy — meaning the German state shut down an event co-organized by Jewish groups in the name of preventing antisemitism.Germany has positioned itself as Israel's staunchest ally in Europe, rooted in historical responsibility for the Holocaust. But that history has also shaped strict speech laws that critics say are now being used to suppress legitimate dissent. Since October 2023, Berlin police have investigated nearly 3,000 pro-Palestinian protesters, and Arabic has been banned at some demonstrations. The country's domestic intelligence agency has also labeled the BDS movement an"extremist threat." Even before the conference began, a partly state-owned bank froze the accounts of Jewish Voice, one of the groups that organized the event and later won this court case. Last month, UN experts said they were alarmed by a"pattern of police violence and apparent suppression of Palestine solidarity activism" in Germany. This case stands out because it wasn't a street protest but an indoor conference of scheduled talks and debates. The court's ruling is a rare rebuke of German authorities' approach. Though the event was co-organized by Jewish peace activists, the state shut it down in the name of preventing antisemitism.Italy's Senate has postponed debate on a landmark bill that would define sex without consent as rape under Italian law. Currently, Italian law only recognizes sexual violence if it involves"force, threats, or abuse of authority," meaning lack of consent isn't sufficient grounds for a rape charge. The new bill, which passed the lower house earlier this month, would make non-consensual sex punishable by 6 to 12 years in prison. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and the opposition Democratic Party had championed the measure together in a rare bipartisan effort, with both sides expecting formal approval on November 25. But at the last minute, the League party requested a delay, citing concerns that the law could"leave room for personal vendettas which would clog courts with tens of thousands of suits." The same week, parliament passed a separate law classifying femicide as a specific crime punishable by life in prison.Under force-based rape laws, victims who froze, were incapacitated, or didn't physically resist often have no path to justice, as the legal question becomes"did she fight back?" rather than"did she agree?" In France, before its recent reform, dismissed rape cases had climbed to 94%. Last month, the country passed a consent-based law following the Gisèle Pelicot case — a woman drugged by her husband and raped by 51 men over nearly a decade. The French Senate voted 327–0 in favor, with the only opposition coming from the far-right National Rally, which called the consent standard"subjective" and"difficult to grasp." Italy's League deployed near-identical language this week, warning the bill could trigger"personal vendettas." Sixteen EU countries now define rape based on consent. Italy, Hungary, and Estonia still require proof of force or coercion. The postponement also exposes fractures within Meloni's coalition. The League, buoyed by recent regional wins, appears to be positioning itself as the more socially conservative force in government. Meloni celebrated the new femicide law but has not commented on the stalled consent bill.The European Court of Justice has ruled that all EU member states must recognize same-sex marriages legally performed in any other member country — even if their own domestic laws don't allow them. The case stems from a Polish couple who married in Berlin in 2018, then returned to Poland and requested their German marriage certificate be transcribed into the Polish civil register. Poland refused, since it doesn't recognize same-sex marriage. The couple challenged the decision, and the ECJ sided with them, ruling that denying recognition violates EU freedom of movement and the right to family life. The court clarified that member states don't have to legalize same-sex marriage domestically — but they must recognize marriages performed elsewhere in the bloc"without distinction" or additional hurdles.While more than half of EU countries now recognize same-sex marriage, Poland has consistently ranked as the worst in the bloc for LGBTQ+ rights — a country where, just a few years ago, nearly a third of municipalities declared themselves"LGBT-free zones." Those zones have since been struck down, but Poland still doesn't recognize same-sex marriage or civil unions, and domestic efforts to change that remain stalled. This ruling sidesteps that deadlock. It doesn't force Poland to legalize same-sex marriage, but it does mean a couple married in Germany or Spain can no longer be treated as legal strangers when they cross the border. For LGBTQ+ Europeans, the protection of their marriage now travels with them across the bloc. The decision also highlights a tension between EU-wide rights and socially conservative governments in Central and Eastern Europe. Hungary has amended its constitution to define marriage as between a man and a woman, and Romania's government has resisted recognizing same-sex partnerships performed abroad.The European Parliament has voted to call for a ban on social media for children under 16. The non-binding resolution, passed by a large majority , also targets video-sharing platforms and AI chatbots. Lawmakers cited research showing that 1 in 4 minors now displays"problematic" smartphone use comparable to addiction, and warned that features like infinite scrolling, autoplay videos, and personalized recommendation algorithms are damaging children's concentration, sleep, and mental health. The vote came just a week after French President Emmanuel Macron attacked US and Chinese platforms for fostering a"Wild West" of harassment, bullying, and extremism. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said she's watching Australia's recently enacted ban on teen social media use closely to see what steps Europe might take next.A non-binding resolution means the European Parliament is formally stating its position. Though it makes legislation more likely, it doesn't compel the European Commission to act. However, the Commission is already leaning this way, as Von der Leyen raised the issue in her State of the Union address. Notably, the EU has already passed the world's most aggressive tech regulations, the Digital Services Act and Digital Markets Act, and shown it's willing to fine US companies billions for noncompliance. A teen social media ban would go further than anything proposed at the US federal level. The Trump administration recently urged Brussels to loosen its digital rules in exchange for trade concessions, but the EU declined. Elon Musk has also framed European content regulation as a threat to free speech. Australia's teen social media ban — compelling platforms to block users under 16 or face multi-million dollar fines — took effect this year, and the Commission has said it's watching closely.The EU agreed to abolish the €150 customs exemption that has allowed low-value parcels from outside the bloc to enter duty-free, a move aimed squarely at Chinese e-commerce giants Shein and Temu. Starting as early as 2026, customs duties will apply"from the first euro" on all imported goods. For scale, 4.6 billion parcels entered the EU in 2024, and 91% came from China. That’s nearly 12 million packages per day, double the previous year, and officials estimate up to 65% of those parcels are undervalued to dodge duties. Additionally, the EU is considering a €2 handling fee on every low-value parcel. The move follows the US, which scrapped its own $800 duty-free threshold in May. Individual countries are already acting: Italy is working on a tax to protect its fashion industry, and France — where Shein is facing legal proceedings over child-like sex dolls sold on its platform — is pushing for a €5-per-parcel fee.Anyone who has ordered a $12 dress from Shein or a $9 phone case from Temu has benefited from the loophole this law closes. For years, packages under €150 entered Europe duty-free, allowing Chinese platforms to ship millions of low-cost items directly to consumers without paying the tariffs European retailers face. That's now ending. Prices on these platforms will likely rise 15–50% depending on the product, and the business model that made ultra-cheap Chinese e-commerce possible in Europe — high volume, low margins, direct-from-factory shipping — may no longer work. The US made the same move earlier this year, and the impact was immediate: Temu's daily active users dropped 52% within weeks, Shein's fell 25%, and both platforms slashed US advertising spending by 70–95%. Europe is the next market to test whether the model survives without the loophole.The Trump administration has designated four European left-wing networks as foreign terrorist organizations, following through on the president's vow to crack down on leftists after the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk. The groups include an Italian anarchist front that sent explosive packages to the president of the European Commission in 2003, two Greek networks believed to have planted bombs at government buildings in Athens, and a German anti-fascist group whose members were convicted for hammer attacks on neo-Nazis. None of the groups appears to have operations in the United States. The designation allows the administration to target any financial support the networks may have in the US, though most anarchist and antifa groups are loose affiliations rather than formal organizations. Hungary's Viktor Orbán, a Trump ally, designated one of the groups as a terrorist organization after Kirk's killing, saying he was following Trump's lead.Designating groups that plant bombs as terrorist organizations isn't new — the US has done this with European leftist factions since the Cold War. What’s new is how the designation could be used domestically. Under US law, anyone who"knowingly provides material support or resources" to a designated foreign terrorist organization is a federal crime punishable by up to 20 years in prison."Material support" is defined broadly and includes money, services, training,"expert advice or assistance," and even"personnel" — meaning someone simply volunteering or offering contact info could be charged. Courts have upheld prosecutions for actions as minimal as reposting links to a group’s fundraiser. And crucially, once a group is on the list, defendants cannot challenge the designation itself. Though these European networks have no known operations in the United States, the designation creates a legal bridge. Trump has already signed an executive order designating domestic antifa as a terrorist organization. But domestic groups can't be placed on the State Department's foreign terror list, which limits enforcement options. By designating European antifa-aligned groups as FTOs, the administration creates a pathway to charge Americans with federal terrorism crimes for alleged"ties" to those networks — and to deny visas or deport non-citizens with any claimed connection. The DOJ has already shown it will move fast: after designating Mexican cartels as FTOs in February, prosecutors filed material support charges within weeks. Attorney General Pam Bondi has also suspended the requirement that local prosecutors get approval from Washington before filing terrorism charges, decentralizing enforcement across the country.The Czech Republic is pushing ahead with a $19 billion nuclear expansion that will at least double the country's nuclear output by 2050. South Korea won the contract to build two new reactors at the existing Dukovany plant, beating out France. Russia and China were excluded from the bidding on security grounds following the invasion of Ukraine. The country currently gets 40% of its electricity from nuclear and another 40% from coal. The expansion is designed to replace fossil fuels entirely while meeting surging demand from data centers and electric vehicles. Czech officials say nuclear will generate between 50–60% of the country's electricity by mid-century.The project is part of a broader European nuclear revival: Belgium and Sweden recently scrapped plans to phase out nuclear power, Denmark and Italy are reconsidering their use, Poland signed a deal with US-based Westinghouse to build three new reactors, and Britain announced a"golden age of nuclear" with its own $19 billion plant. The EU now classifies nuclear as environmentally sustainable, opening the door to financing.For decades after Chernobyl and Fukushima, nuclear power was politically toxic across much of Europe. That's now reversed. The EU classified nuclear as"green" energy, and countries that once planned to phase it out are racing to expand. What's driving the shift isn't just climate targets but energy security. Russia's invasion of Ukraine exposed how dependent Europe had become on Russian gas, and governments are now treating energy infrastructure as a national security issue. The contrast with the United States is notable: the only new American nuclear plant completed this century, Georgia's Vogtle, came in at $35 billion — nearly triple its original budget — and no other US projects are under construction. Europe is betting nuclear is essential to hitting 2050 carbon neutrality without sacrificing reliability or independence. Austria, which abandoned nuclear after Chernobyl, has already rejected Czech plans for small modular reactors near its border.French prosecutors have added Elon Musk's AI chatbot Grok to an existing cybercrime investigation after it generated posts claiming Auschwitz gas chambers were used for"disinfection with Zyklon B against typhus" rather than mass murder, language long associated with Holocaust denial. The Auschwitz Memorial flagged the exchange as a distortion of historical fact. Grok later acknowledged the error and pointed to evidence that more than 1 million people were murdered in the gas chambers, but X issued no clarification. This isn't Grok's first problem with antisemitic content. Earlier this year, xAI took down posts in which the chatbot appeared to praise Hitler. French ministers have formally reported the posts to prosecutors, two rights groups have filed criminal complaints, and French regulators have flagged potential violations of the EU's Digital Services Act.The European Commission called Grok's output"appalling" and said it runs against Europe's fundamental rights and values.This is one of the first major cases testing whether Holocaust denial laws — written for human speakers — can be applied to AI-generated content. French prosecutors are explicitly examining"the functioning of the AI," treating the system itself as something that can be investigated, not just its output. If Grok"says" something illegal, who's responsible? The company? The engineers? The user who prompted it? The answer could shape AI liability law across Europe. The case isn't a one-off hallucination. Grok has repeatedly generated antisemitic content — praising Hitler earlier this year, now denying gas chambers. That pattern raises questions about training data, guardrails, or whether xAI has deprioritized content moderation relative to competitors who have invested heavily in preventing exactly this kind of output. For Musk personally, the investigation highlights a transatlantic enforcement gap. In the US, he's a senior administration figure, DOGE co-lead, and a constant White House presence. EU law, however, doesn't account for American political status. The Digital Services Act gives European regulators authority over platforms operating in Europe, including potential fines up to 6% of global revenue. Musk has positioned X as a free speech absolutist platform and framed European content regulation as censorship. X is already under investigation for potential foreign interference through its algorithm. The Grok case adds a new front: whether an AI's repeated"mistakes" in one direction constitute something more than error.France is set to introduce a new voluntary national military service program offering combat training to civilians. President Emmanuel Macron is expected to announce the initiative this week, starting with 2,000 to 3,000 recruits in the first year and scaling up to 50,000 annually. The move comes as Europe confronts a security environment in which the US can no longer be counted on to deter Russian aggression — some European officials have warned that Moscow could be ready to attack a NATO member as early as 2028. France's chief of defense staff sparked controversy last week by saying the country must show it is"prepared to lose its children," remarks Macron defended while affirming that France must not appear"weak against the power that threatens us the most." The government has also published a crisis response guide urging households to prepare emergency kits with food, water, medicine, and battery-powered radios.France ended mandatory military service in 1997 after nearly two centuries of"citizen-soldier" tradition. This program isn't a return to conscription — it's voluntary — but the fact that France is actively recruiting civilians for combat training, and publicly preparing the population for the possibility of war, signals how European threat perceptions have shifted since Russia invaded Ukraine. In June, NATO's secretary general warned that Russia could be ready to attack a NATO member within five years. At the same summit, allies committed to raising defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, more than doubling the previous target. EU defense spending hit €343 billion last year, up 19% in a single year, with weapons and equipment investment up 42%. France isn't an outlier. It's part of the largest European rearmament since the Cold War. The Trump administration has said it intends to pivot American military focus to the Indo-Pacific, leaving Europe to take"primary responsibility" for its own conventional defense.Germany will require all men to register for potential military service starting January 1, 2026, the country's biggest step toward reintroducing conscription since it was suspended in 2011. Around 700,000 young men born in 2008 or later will be contacted to complete mandatory registration, medical screenings, and an online questionnaire detailing their willingness to serve. Women will receive the same letter but aren't required to respond. The goal is to boost the Bundeswehr from 180,000 soldiers to 260,000 by 2035, plus 200,000 reservists. If volunteer numbers fall short of NATO commitments, compulsory service will be reintroduced through a separate law. Applications for conscientious objector status have already spiked to their highest level since mandatory service ended.Chancellor Friedrich Merz has pledged to build"Europe's strongest conventional army," and Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said Europe is looking to Germany"not only in terms of money, weapons and procurement, but also in terms of personnel."Germany suspended conscription in 2011, assuming Europe no longer needed large citizen armies. Russia's invasion of Ukraine shattered that assumption. In 2022, then-Chancellor Olaf Scholz declared aIn 2024, Germany marked its first Veterans Day since World War II. Mandatory registration is the next step, as it gives the government the legal infrastructure to restart a draft quickly if volunteer numbers fall short of NATO commitments. That gap is real — only 17% of young Germans say they'd personally fight for their country. But Berlin is betting that the threat from Russia, and uncertainty over American support for NATO, will override domestic resistance. Other European countries are making similar calculations: France is launching voluntary civilian combat training; Sweden, Latvia, and Croatia have all revived or expanded conscription in recent years. For a country that defined its postwar identity around military restraint, Germany's shift is one of the most significant defense reversals in Europe.Alice and Ellen Kessler, the German twin sisters who became international stars in the 1950s and '60s, died together by assisted suicide on Monday at their shared home near Munich. They were 89. The twins had planned the joint death for over a year. In an interview last year, they said they wanted"to go away together on the same day" — the idea that one might die first was"very hard to bear." They requested their ashes be placed in a single urn alongside their mother and their dog, though German burial law prohibits combining remains. The Kesslers fled East Germany at 16, were discovered at the Lido cabaret in Paris, and went on to share stages with Fred Astaire, Frank Sinatra, and Harry Belafonte. They represented West Germany at Eurovision in 1959 and were still performing into their 80s.Assisted dying is legal in Germany after a 2020 constitutional court ruling that individuals have the right to end their lives and seek help doing so, provided the decision is free from external pressure. But the Kessler case is unusual — and, to critics, troubling — because neither twin was terminally ill. Their reason was simpler: They didn't want to live without each other. Certain groups in Germany condemned what they called the"glorification" of the deaths, warning that romanticized coverage could pressure older people, particularly women, to see assisted suicide as an obligation rather than a choice. Assisted dying is now legal in nine European countries, and the UK is currently debating legislation. In the US, medical aid in dying is legal in 10 states and Washington, DC. Germany's law is among the most permissive, as it doesn't require terminal illness or unbearable suffering, only that the decision be made freely. The Kesslers' case is now part of the debate over where that line should be drawn.Dutch officials are pushing the United States to reinstate a display honoring Black American soldiers that was quietly removed from a US military cemetery in the Netherlands earlier this year. The panel, installed at the Margraten cemetery's visitor center in 2024, commemorated the 960th Quartermaster Service Company — a unit of Black soldiers who buried thousands of American war dead in the winter of 1944. The removal went unnoticed for months until Dutch filmmakers alerted the widow of 1st Lt. Jefferson Wiggins, featured in the display, in October. The mayor and provincial government have now formally requested that the US reinstate it. A Biden appointee who led the agency told CNN that the removal was done"at the prompting of the Trump administration."Wiggins, who was 19 when he began the work, recalled the experience before his death in 2013:"Here we all were — this group of Black Americans having to deal with these bodies of white Americans. The stark reality was we had to bury those soldiers although we couldn't sit in the same room with them when they were alive."American military cemeteries overseas are legally US soil, and the narratives displayed there are the narratives America chooses to project about itself. The 960th's panel told a specific, uncomfortable truth about WWII — that segregation didn't pause for the war, that Black soldiers were systematically assigned roles designed to keep them from combat and recognition, and that their contributions were suppressed for decades. Removing the display signals which version of that history the US government will officially commemorate. What makes this case unusual is that a foreign government is now challenging that choice. Margraten isn't an ordinary cemetery to the Dutch. Through an 80-year"adoption" program, local families have cared for individual American graves, maintaining personal relationships with the fallen across generations. The removal prompted formal requests for reinstatement from both local and provincial leaders. For Jefferson Wiggins's widow, it echoes the erasure her husband spent his life fighting. Wiggins, who buried white soldiers in 1944 despite being unable to sit in the same room with them while they were alive, became an educator and civil rights advocate after the war."They're trying to erase him," she told CNN. The display had been proof that what he witnessed — and the inequality he lived — had finally been acknowledged.Thousands of protesters took to the streets of Sofia on Wednesday to denounce steep tax hikes in Bulgaria's 2026 budget — the country's last budget in the Bulgarian lev before it joins the eurozone on January 1. An estimated 20,000 demonstrators formed a human chain around the parliament building to prevent lawmakers from leaving, with some throwing bottles and firecrackers at police. Three officers were injured, and authorities used tear gas to disperse crowds. The budget doubles the dividend tax from 5% to 10%, raises social security contributions by two percentage points, and sets government spending at a record 46% of GDP. Opposition leaders have called it"leftist" and"pro-inflationary." But the government says the tax increases are necessary to fund wage hikes for teachers, doctors, and police — and to keep the deficit at exactly 3% of GDP, the ceiling required for eurozone membership.Most Bulgarians support EU membership — around 61% in recent polls — but switching to the euro is far more divisive. Surveys this year show the public nearly evenly split, with a slight majority opposed. The hesitation is personal. Bulgaria has the EU's highest poverty rate, and many worry that even small price increases during the transition could push already struggling households deeper into hardship. President Rumen Radev argued citizens deserved a direct vote and pushed for a referendum, but parliament rejected the proposal as unconstitutional and pressed ahead, raising taxes to meet the eurozone's strict 3% deficit ceiling. The protesters in Sofia aren't necessarily anti-EU. They're angry about shouldering the costs of a decision they feel they weren't consulted on. There's also a geopolitical layer, as pro-Russian and nationalist parties campaigned aggressively against the euro, framing it as a surrender of sovereignty, and Radev's referendum push drew accusations that he was aligning with Moscow's interests. The government insists that euro adoption ties Bulgaria more closely to the EU at a moment of heightened Russian pressure. Support for the euro has historically risen in other countries after adoption, but Bulgaria's transition begins January 1, with the public still deeply divided.That's this month's roundup. Which stories stood out to you? Did anything surprise you, change how you see Europe's political moment, or feel unexpectedly relevant to the US? If you've come across other global headlines that deserve more attention, drop them in the comments below. I always love hearing what's on your radar.

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