EUR/USD Dips as Traders Await Fed Rate Decision

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EUR/USD Dips as Traders Await Fed Rate Decision
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The Euro weakened against the US dollar on Tuesday, with traders eagerly anticipating the Federal Reserve's final rate decision of the year. The focus is on the Fed's policy outlook amidst mixed economic signals.

EUR/USD dropped another 0.5% against the US dollar on Tuesday. US economic data is the main driver of market sentiment, while the Eurozone has a light data week. Traders are focused on the Federal Reserve 's last rate decision of 2024. The Euro's upward momentum faded as traders await the Fed's announcement. European markets largely ignored appearances by several European Central Bank officials earlier this week, even though December PMI figures beat expectations.

The pan-EU Services PMI survey remains in contraction territory due to concerns over a deepening economic slowdown in Europe, which continues to worry investors and businesses. US Retail Sales rose 0.7% month-over-month, raising some concerns that the Fed might not need to cut rates aggressively, especially given recent increases in inflation. Despite this, markets still expect the Fed to cut rates by 0.25% on Wednesday, with a 95% probability according to the CME's FedWatch Tool. The EUR/USD daily chart shows consolidation above 1.0450 after a sharp decline from late October highs near 1.1000. This recent stabilization coincides with investor expectations for the Federal Reserve's expected quarter-point rate cut on Wednesday, which has introduced some uncertainty into the US dollar's trajectory. Prices are capped by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0658, with a longer-term bearish bias indicated by the 200-day EMA at 1.0809, sloping downwards. A break below the key support at 1.0450 could see bears revisit the psychological 1.0400 level

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