EUR/USD Analysis: Bulls remain at the mercy of USD price dynamics ahead of US CPI, ECB this week

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EUR/USD Analysis: Bulls remain at the mercy of USD price dynamics ahead of US CPI, ECB this week
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The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a positive move and moves away from a three-month low, around the 1.0685 zone touched last week. The uptick

is sponsored by notable US Dollar supply, albeit lacks bullish conviction. Spot prices remain below mid-1.0700s heading into the European session as traders seem reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of this week's key US macro data and the crucial European Central Bank meeting. The US consumer inflation figures are due for release on Wednesday, which will be followed by the US Producer and monthly Retail Sales data on Thursday.

Apart from this, the uncertainty over the ECB's future rate-hike path contributes to capping the EUR/USD pair. It is worth mentioning that analysts remain divided on whether the ECB will hike interest rates for a 10th straight time amid still-hight inflation or pause its historic policy-tightening cycle in the wake of a darkening Euro Zone

On the flip side, the multi-month low, around the 1.0685 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the May swing low, around the 1.0635 zone. Some follow-through selling, leading to a subsequent weakness below the 1.0600 mark, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Thepair might then prolong its well-established downtrend witnessed over the past two months or so and accelerate the fall towards the next relevant support near the 1.0525 area .

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