The EUR/JPY currency pair retreated from a four-week high after the release of mixed German economic data and growing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hold off on a rate hike.
EUR/JPY retreats after hitting a four-week-high of 162.47 on Tuesday. The German IFO Business Climate came in at 84.7 in December, down from November’s 85.6 reading. The JPY may struggle due to increased chances of the BoJ holding off on a rate hike on Thursday. EUR/JPY halts its two days of gains, pulling back from a four-week high of 162.47, which was marked on Tuesday.
The downside of the EUR/JPY cross is bolstered by the release of mixed German data from the CESifo Group, trading around 161.30 during the European hours. The headline German IFO Business Climate Index declined to 84.7 in December, from the previous reading of 85.6. Meanwhile, the Current Economic Assessment Index improved to 85.1 from 84.3 in November, surpassing the estimated 84.0. However, the Expectations Index, reflecting firms' outlook for the next six months, dropped sharply to 84.4 in December compared to 87.0 in November. The Euro faces challenges following the dovish remarks from ECB President Christine Lagarde on Monday. Lagarde spoke at the Annual Economics Conference, indicating that the ECB is prepared to cut rates further if incoming data confirm that disinflation remains on track. Lagarde also signaled a shift in policy stance, noting that the previous bias toward maintaining sufficiently restrictive rates is no longer warranted. Moreover, data showed on Monday that Eurozone PMI figures exceeded expectations in December; however, Services PMI surveys remain in contraction territory amid growing concerns about a deepening economic slowdown in Europe, which continues to weigh on investor and business sentiment. Traders are expected to focus on However, the downside of the EUR/JPY cross would be limited as the Japanese Yen (JPY) may depreciate due to the rising likelihood that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may avoid an interest rate hike on Thursday. The markets are currently pricing in less than a 30% chance of a BoJ’s rate hike in Decembe
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