Eskom believes load-shedding will generally be contained to stage 2 when implemented this winter, and will not exceed stage 4.
Eskom has released its System and Winter Outlook for 2024, forecasting much less load-shedding than last year.
Marokane said their likely scenario, which assumes an average of 15,500MW of breakdowns, indicates that load-shedding will be limited to stage 2. Marokane said a consistent improvement in Eskom’s generating performance over the last year has improved their confidence. Eskom’s current energy availability factor is at 61% — a substantial improvement compared to last year.
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