Jason Logan's NFL betting picks predicts a busy day for Washington TE Zach Ertz against Detroit's Lions defense. With the Lions prioritizing containing Washington QB Jayden Daniels, Ertz is expected to be the safety blanket, particularly if the Commanders trail.
Jayden Daniels will be under duress vs. Aaron Glenn 's Lions defense, and that should mean a rise in safe throws to tight end Zach Ertz , per Jason Logan's NFL betting picks .
The Lions' defense is determined to contain the shifty Daniels to the pocket, take away his downfield weapons, and have the first-year phenom settling for shorter throws to tight end Zach Ertz.is at his best when he can move around behind the line of scrimmage, avoid the pressure, and break down the defense. We saw that on display against Tampa Bay in the Wild Card win last weekend.
From there, Detroit’s man coverage will take away Daniels’ top threats like Terry McLaurin and have him settling for his third progression and checkdown options. If we look at Darnold’s passes against Detroit, he targeted tight end T.J. Hockenson eight times. That sets up a busy day for Washington veteran TE
With game-script calling for a high-scoring finish and the Commanders to be trailing, there will be plenty of passes to go around. Ertz drew at least five targets in six of the last eight regular season outings, recording four or more catches in five of those contests. How often does Washington have the better defense on the field? That could be the case against this decimated Detroit stop unit. I think this game is closer than books predict.Most operators opened with the Lions between -9 and -9.5 once the dusted settled on Sunday night. That spread has flirted with -10 but drew instant buyback on the underdog to knock it back below the key number.
Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.
NFL Divisional Round Detroit Lions Washington Commanders Zach Ertz Jayden Daniels Aaron Glenn Betting Picks
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