Endemic: Not the end

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Endemic: Not the end
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It’s been two years since the COVID-19 pandemic and there’s a growing dangerous sense of complacency, spread in part by a word that’s taken on magical meanings: endemicity.It doesn’t

April 05,2022 - 08:12 AM

The word is actually derived from the Greek “en” and “demos,” which means an ominous “in the people,” i.e., when we say a disease is endemic, it means it is now established in the population and beyond that fact, we can’t really say with certainty what the future will be. What I do worry about is that for countries like the Philippines, with still weak science and public health infrastructure, our complacency might allow the virus chronic resurgence, like typhoons or tsunamis, for many years to come, the code alerts becoming like typhoon signals.

COVID-19 erupted in 2020 and led to a decline in dengue—“only” 231 deaths in 2020 and 285 in 2021. Can we live with only “285” deaths? I read articles saying soon COVID-19 will be “just” like flu, but we forget flu kills. There have in fact been six flu pandemics since 1918, with “descendants”—variants—of the original virus of 1918.It depends on whether the world, and the Philippines, is ready to learn from the current pandemic.

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