Report says epidemic suppression is the 'only viable strategy' to stop the spread of COVID-19.
Measures to curb the spread of coronavirus could last for more than 18 months—until a vaccine becomes available—with epidemic suppression now the"only viable strategy," a report has said. Findings show that even under the most effective mitigation strategy, between 1.1 million and 1.2 million people in the U.S. would die from COVID-19.
This strategy was adopted aggressively in China, with the entire city of Wuhan, believed to be the epicenter of the outbreak, placed under quarantine. Social distancing was enforced, with schools closed, sporting events canceled and theatres shut. Apps were also used to track people's movements.
Instead, the team found a suppression strategy that could be put in place until a vaccine is developed would be the best way to stop the pandemic. In the most effective scenario, the death toll of the coronavirus dropped significantly, with over ten times fewer deaths compared to no control measurements being taken.
However, the authors also warned there had never been a public health intervention that disrupted society to such an extent:"How populations and societies will respond remains unclear," the report said. Concluding, it noted:"Epidemic suppression is the only viable strategy at the current time. The social and economic effects of the measures which are needed to achieve this policy goal will be profound.
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