NFL survivor pool strategy, predictions and picks for ESPN Eliminator Challenge Week 1.
Erin Dolan explains why the Kansas City Chiefs could be a good bet to finish the NFL regular season with the most wins in the league. , especially recently. Over the last two seasons, teams favored by at least four points in Week 1 are just 6-7-1, leading to many early eliminations.), while the next two most popular picks were upset. Two years ago, the chalkiest pick won , but the three next-most popular choices either lost , while teams favored between 4-7 points are 61-25-1 .
However, those weeks also offer several other strong options on paper. The Bengals are the biggest favorites by far in Week 17, so burning them now could be painful then, but it's too early to be concerned about 16 weeks from now. The Patriots are a strong candidate to be the worst team in the NFL, and fading them on the road will be a staple of this column for months.
While the Bills are a top-five team entering the season according to ESPN Analytics, there are only three more games after this week where they are projected to be at least 70% favorites. Buffalo has also been a strong Week 1 team under Sean McDermott, winning and covering the spread in each of the last four seasons.The Seahawks are another strong pivot off the Bengals chalk this week.
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