The gap between Eskom’s generation capacity and the demand on its grid could increase to as much as 10,000MW during the winter peak.
He explained that Eskom’s energy availability factor averages 53%, resulting in a significant gap between generation capacity and demand.
“Now we are entering winter, which is going to be a very difficult period. The numbers suggest that historically the average [demand] is about 35,000MW, but it can go up to 37,000MW,” he added. The System Operator is responsible for monitoring the national grid and ensuring its stability, including instituting load-shedding when demand exceeds supply.
Ramokgopa outlined three ways to address the situation, with the first being Eskom ramping up its generation capacity. However, he stated that the daily needs of households and businesses must not be undermined by efforts to reduce demand. Efficiencies must therefore be found to reduce demand, rather than asking people to do without to conserve energy.regarding higher stages of load-shedding this winter, with energy expert at Hohm Energy, Matthew Cruise, saying there is a relatively high risk of stage 8 load-shedding — and possibly even higher stages — being implemented from July 2023.
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