Electric Vehicles Drive Sharp Decline in Transportation Emissions, New Report Shows

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Electric Vehicles Drive Sharp Decline in Transportation Emissions, New Report Shows
ELECTRIC VEHICLESCLIMATE CHANGETRANSPORTATION EMISSIONS
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A new report from the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) finds that electric vehicles (EVs) are accelerating the decline of transportation emissions, potentially reaching a peak as early as 2025 and then plummeting. This turnaround is attributed to ambitious decarbonization policies and the rapid growth in EV sales, particularly in major markets like the US, EU, and China. While significant progress has been made, the ICCT warns that current commitments still fall short of limiting warming to well below 2°C. The report also highlights the economic benefits of the EV transition, with the global EV market projected to be worth trillions of dollars.

Transportation sector emissions have accelerated the climate crisis – automobiles are the second-largest source of greenhouse gases and have nearly doubled since 1990 – but they may soon be thrown in reverse thanks to electric vehicles.and liquid fuel consumption may peak at around 9 gigatonnes as soon as 2025 and then begin falling, plummeting to 7.1 Gt in 2050.

This analysis tracks BNEF’s 2024 Electric Vehicle outlook, released in June 2024, which forecast global road transportation emissions would peak in 2029 under all current policies and trends. BNEF’s assessment may forecast a later peak but it also forecasts a deeper decline, falling to 6.27 Gt in 2035.

in 2025, which would pass the long-sought threshold where EVs become as cheap as a gas-powered car. Global average battery prices fell 20% to $115 per kWh in 2024 as production capacity increased, low-cost battery technologies started coming online, and low lithium costs pushed down overall battery prices.

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