Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are all more likely to vote for Donald Trump than Kamala Harris, according to the latest 338Canada analysis.
Donald Trump is now the favorite to win November's presidential election, according to the latest data published by 338Canada.The study, released by the election analysis website on Monday, gave Trump a 51 percent chance of winning, compared with 49 percent for Harris. It was a notable change from the last 338Canada analysis, from October 8, which gave Harris a 52 percent change of victory versus 47 percent for Trump, with a 1 percent chance of a tie.
Between October 8 and 14 the key battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania all switched from toss-ups slightly leaning towards Harris, to toss-ups slightly leaning towards Trump, according to 338Canada. On October 14, the website gave Trump a 53 percent chance of winning Wisconsin, a 51 percent chance of winning Michigan and a 52 percent chance of victory in Pennsylvania.
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