SAElections2019 | The IRR poll states that on a 71.9% turnout scenario, the ANC will get 51% of the national vote in the general elections on May 8.
On a 71.9% turnout scenario, the ANC will get 51% of the national vote in the general elections on May 8, the IRR poll states - compared with 62.15% in 2014.Economic analyst Russell Lamberti commented:"IRR poll quite a bombshell - almost too much to believe ... G
Scholtz predicted that, based on all historic voting patterns and by-election results,"this looks like a 55-60 election for the ANC".5/ And I stand by my original expectations for this election. Based on all historic voting patterns and by-election results, this looks like a 55-60 election for the ANC.
The DA currently stands on 21.3% nationally, down 0.5 percentage points from February . On a 71.9% turnout scenario, support for the party increases to 24%. On a 69.3% turnout scenario, it also increases to 24%. The EFF currently stands on 13.0% on the provincial ballot, down 5.2 percentage points from February . On a 70.4% turnout scenario, support for the party decreases to 12%. On a 67.7% turnout scenario, it also decreases to 12.3%.The DA currently stands on 44.6% on the provincial ballot, down 5.5 percentage points from February . On a 71.9% turnout scenario, support for the party increases to 50%. On a 69.1% turnout scenario, it increases to 51%.
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