Election Forecast Predicts Harris vs. Trump Electoral College Vote Totals

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Election Forecast Predicts Harris vs. Trump Electoral College Vote Totals
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According to The Economist's national forecast model, Harris and Trump have about a 1 in 2 chance of winning the Electoral College.

As the 2024 election draws closer, an election forecast published on Friday is predicting the Electoral College vote totals for Vice President Kamala Harris, the presumptive Democratic presidential candidate and Donald Trump, the GOP presidential nominee.According to The Economist's national forecast model published on Friday, Harris and Trump have about a 1 in 2 chance of winning the Electoral College, which awards each state a certain number of electoral votes based on population.

Most notably, the forecast model shows Pennsylvania having the highest chance at 24 percent of being the state that decides the election with 19 electoral votes.An Emerson College and RealClearPennsylvania poll that was published on Friday showed that out of 1,000 likely Pennsylvanian voters surveyed on August 13 and 14, 49 percent backed Trump, with 48 percent backing Harris. The poll has a margin of error of 3 percent, meaning the candidates are in a statistical tie.

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