Derek Saul is a New Jersey-based Senior Reporter on Forbes' news team. He graduated in 2021 from Duke University, where he majored in Economics and served as sports editor for The Chronicle, Duke's student newspaper, joining Forbes soon thereafter.
Former President Donald Trump has been surging on betting sites as more states close their polls, turning around what had been a shrinking lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in betting odds after the first major polls closed, while survey-based prediction models indicated the candidates were locked in a: Perhaps the most famous election betting player, the blockchain-based site still leaned toward Trump after the first closures, giving him 92.7% implied odds of victory compared to Harris’ 7.
Odds around the time of the first major poll closures at 6 p.m. EST were roughly 60% for Trump and 40% for Harris on high-profile betting platforms.90.3%. That’s the betting market’s aggregated odds for a Trump victory as of 10:45 p.m. EST, according to thesaid just before 10:45 that it considered Trump “likely” to win the election with an 85% chance of victory.
CORRECTION : This story has been updated to reflect that Interactive Brokers and Robinhood route to the same exchange and cannot have different odds.Our community is about connecting people through open and thoughtful conversations. We want our readers to share their views and exchange ideas and facts in a safe space.
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