Ed Markey Won, But It’s Still Been A Rough Year For Incumbents

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Ed Markey Won, But It’s Still Been A Rough Year For Incumbents
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While Sen. Ed Markey defeated younger challenger Rep. Joe Kennedy III, 2020 has still seen an unusual amount of anti-incumbent sentiment. Read more via FiveThirtyEight:

Bolded rows are the first election cycle after redistricting. Figures from the 2020 cycle only include primaries that have concluded by Sept. 1.It’s not unusual to see a lot of incumbents lose primaries in years ending in -2 because those are the first cycles after congressional redistricting, when incumbents are sometimes thrown into new districts with lots of voters who are unfamiliar with them.

unusual to see a lot of incumbents lose in non-redistricting cycles like 2020, which have averaged only three incumbent losses since 1984.In fact, to find a non-redistricting year when as many incumbents lost renomination as in 2020, one would have to go back to 1974, which was a historic election in its own right.

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