Lifting the lockdown may not be the sole cause of rising infections, writes Charles R Stith
06 July 2020 - 17:03As the world gets worked up over the reported surge in coronavirus cases, I’m reminded of a quote by economist Thomas Sowell. It goes something like this: “O
, health minister Zweli Mkhize seems to have bought in to this assumption as he has hinted that returning to a level 5 lockdown might be on the horizon. is the search for easy answers and quick fixes. What we’ve discovered during the crisis, as is the case in most horror shows, is that killing, capturing or keeping the monster at bay is never easy. The coronavirus crisis is a complex problem, with complicated short- and long-term implications.
Less obvious, but no less important, is what the new data tells us about the epidemiology of the disease beyond the number of cases. Does the new data detail whether this coronavirus is more deadly or less deadly than the other viral outbreaks since 2000? Comparatively speaking, is this coronavirus more contagious or a greater killer than other novel viruses, such as the swine flu? The estimates for swine flu infections in 2009 ranged from 700-million to 1.4-billion cases.
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