Nature examines whether the temperature spike is a blip or an enduring — and concerning — trend. Nature examines whether the temperature spike is a blip or an enduring — and concerning — trend.
Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser . In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.Earth’s temperature has surged in the past two years, and climate scientists will soon announce that it hit a milestone in 2024:.
“I would be very careful about saying this is clear evidence , but there might be something going on,” says co-author Helge Goessling, a climate physicist at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Bremerhaven, Germany., with an average 1.45 °C of warming above the pre-industrial baseline , shattering previous records. This level of warming is outside the range of what scientists expected on the basis of previous trends and modelling.
owing to El Niño. But they also anticipated that temperatures would fall after the weather pattern subsided and conditions in the equatorial Pacific returned to normal last June. “That didn’t happen,” says Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at Berkeley Earth, a non-profit organization in California that tracks global temperatures. Instead, global temperatures remained elevated, shattering more records and probably making last year the warmest on record by a sizeable margin. “All of us who made projections at the start of the year underestimated just how warm 2024 would be.
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