While Virginia isn't a primary battleground state this year, its early voting patterns show increased GOP participation. Consistent voters, often Republicans, are utilizing early in-person voting at higher rates than in previous elections.
As some battleground states start early voting, Virginia has been going for weeks. The data show more interest in early voting from GOP areas this time.While Virginia isn’t a core battleground state this year, it does have more than two weeks of mail-in and early in-person voting already in the books, including hundreds of thousands of absentee ballots already cast.
One way to capture this trend is by calculating the percentage of 2020 votes in an area that have already been cast in 2024 via absentee ballots. This ranges from about 12% in the areas that are most supportive of Democrats to almost 22% in those areas that lean toward Republicans. So far, it appears that about 90% of the people who have voted in Virginia are consistent voters who participated in at least two or three of these elections. And there are no meaningful differences in the share of consistent voters based on the partisan lean of the area.
Why might voters in more Democratic-leaning areas cast their votes later than in areas more supportive of Republicans? One possible explanation is the availability of These are additional locations, beyond the general registrar’s office of a county or city, where voters can cast early in-person ballots starting later in October. These satellite voting locations may make early in-person voting accessible in more populous areas, which tend to be more Democratic-leaning.
Election2024 Earlyvoting Virginia Republicanparty Democrats
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