Our Broncos vs. Chargers predictions expect Justin Herbert & Co. to bounce back in a big way after laying an egg against the Bucs.
The Chargers fell flat against the Buccaneers in Week 15 but host the Broncos on Thursday night in a game that should see them get back in the win column.
The Chargers were lucky that quarterback Justin Herbert survived that beating from the Bucs. He was constantly hounded and suffered three sacks in the 40-17 defeat. Herbert is obviously the key to the Chargers attack and very much the X-factor in this Thursday matchup. I’m going to discount the Chargers’ loss to Tampa Bay on Sunday due to a bad situational spot for Los Angeles. It was coming off a crushing loss to Kansas City and got caught looking ahead to this short turnaround.
The Broncos enter Week 16 as the No. 1 stop unit in EPA allowed per play and opponent success rate per snap. The Chargers own the No. 8 spot in those respective advanced metrics. Denver’s defense will also keep Herbert hearing footsteps, with the fourth-highest pressure rate per dropback in the league. The Broncos lead the NFL with 49 sacks behind the No. 3 pass rush win rate at ESPN. Los Angeles’ pass protection has allowed 38 sacks on Herbert, including three to Denver in Week 6.
Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.
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