Many of us dream of a white Christmas, but what are the odds of us seeing enough snow for that to happen this year? ❄️👀
smooths out the chances a bit. It shows northern Illinois with a range of between a 25% to 50% chance. Most of the Chicago area is within the 25% to 40% contour. A more extensive analysis that includes all the Christmases from as far back as 1901 yields closer to a 45% chance for Chicago to see a white Christmas.
It's kind of like forecasting if the Bears will beat the Packers the next time they play in 2023. This far out that forecast would be based largely on their previous meetings. The Packers had their 105th victory all time over the Bears on Sunday. The Bears have beaten the Packers 95 times since the start of the NFL. There has also been a total of six ties. So based on their record together, the Packers would have a 51% probability of beating the Bears next year.
We might not be close enough to put out an accurate forecast for a white Christmas this year but we are close enough to get some clues.
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