An election forecast model previously predicting a landslide for Harris is now predicting a decisive Trump victory, but it could flip again, said its creator.
An election forecaster who previously predicted a landslide victory for Vice President Kamala Harris has switched his prediction to former President Donald Trump.Thomas Miller, a data scientist who accurately predicted the 2020 presidential election result, previously backed Harris to win in 2024, telling Newsweek in September that the Democrat was on track to win more than 400 votes in the Electoral College, according to his model.
In contrast to other forecasters, Lichtman's 'Keys to the White House' model relies almost exclusively on long term historical trends, and has continually predicted a Harris victory.While polling still indicates that the race is tight, betting odds have continued to favor Trump, with Polymarket odds showing Trump leading Harris nationally with a 60.3 percent chance of winning, compared to Harris' 39.7 percent.
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