None of regional economic clusters is functioning well, which does not bode well for African Continental Free Trade Area
Announcing the death of the African Continental Free Trade Area may be premature, but the patient is in the ICU. On a ventilator. With barely a pulse. Yet manically preaching like a faith-healer on tik. But it’s all noise and no substance.
Both the Sacu and the Southern African Development Community agreements provide for mutual recognition of professional driving permits to avoid exactly this problem. Is SA simply paying off the other five states by sharing customs and excise revenue with them? What happens if all five countries keep up their protectionist actions and the union stops functioning, even superficially? Aside from the immediate collapse of Lesotho and Eswatini, the AfCFTA dream would truly die on the vine.
As we try to create an African free trade area we should not expect the whole of Africa to behave substantially differently to its constituent parts, yet that seems to be exactly the expectation. This is of course not new behaviour, but it does remain as self-destructive as it has always has been. Look at what is happening in Africa right now. The continent’s most important air connection hub in Ethiopia , is imploding as Tigrayan fighters progress south against the rag-tag army ofThis is happening in a region of incredible instability when just a short while ago Ethiopia, with its more than 100-million population, was one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa.
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