Dollar peg is critical to Hong Kong amid US threats, China worries

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Dollar peg is critical to Hong Kong amid US threats, China worries
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HONG KONG: China's national security law for Hong Kong and moves by the United States to begin withdrawing privileges enjoyed by the city under U.S. law have unsettled investors.

They have also raised fears about the stability of the Hong Kong dollar's 36-year old peg to its U.S. counterpart, prompting local officials to issue several reassurances.The HKD is pegged in a narrow range of 7.75-7.85 to the U.S. dollar. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority buys and sells the currency at either limit to maintain the range. Buying HKD boosts it by reducing its availability and raises the costs of betting against the currency. Sales do the opposite.

To maintain the peg, official Hong Kong interest rates track U.S. monetary policy. The currency's movement within the band is influenced by differences between market interest rates in both. Hong Kong interbank rates are higher than their U.S. equivalents, helping keep the HKD strong in spite of concerns about outflows related to the new law.

A Bloomberg report suggested this week that U.S. President Donald Trump's policy advisers explored that option, though the idea did not gain any traction. "For the U.S. dollar, exorbitant privilege is not risk-free," Geoff Yu, senior EMEA market strategist at BNY Mellon, said in a note."The bottom line is that current rhetoric surrounding the Hong Kong dollar peg will likely stay as rhetoric."

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