Our Dodgers vs. Padres predictions expect big things from Shohei Ohtani as he returns to the mound and the plate.
After swapping first place in the NL West over the first two games, the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres play the rubber match of their series in San Diego.
The Dodgers are up by half a game and will send Shohei Ohtani to the mound. MLB picksHe's also back in the lineup after being held out in recent starts. He’s 10 for his last 19 with 21 total bases and 10 RBI. , with career-best rates in several statistics.
His swing and misses are up, but he’s allowing solid contact more often than in past seasons, a danger against this L.A. lineup. , and opponents haven’t caught up. Still, they’re hitting .364 against his cutter and .300 against his curve, both up significantly from last year. Plus, the Dodgers have four batters in MLB’s Top 40 against either the sinker or four-seamer.
Vasquez is getting batters to swing and miss, but when they make contact, they drive the ball. He’s in MLB’s bottom quartile in average exit velocity allowed, as well as hard-hit and barrel rate. The Dodgers have four batters in MLB’s Top 40 in barrel rate, four in the Top 50 in hard-hit percentage, and three in the Top 40 in average exit velo. Blowing it past them seems like a shaky prospect.
Ohtani has been lights out on the mound for the Dodgers this year, but L.A. used five relievers for 66 total pitches on Tuesday. San Diego’s pen is even more fatigued after they used five for 78 pitches. The Dodgers have covered the run line in 24 of their last 40 road games for +9.25 units and a 19% ROI. Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website.
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