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This is when gold is expected to hit $10,000, according to YardeniOn Friday, the University of Michigan reported that its consumer sentiment index improved in January to a five-month high. The index rose to 56.
4, exceeding all of Wall Street’s forecasts and marking the largest increase since June.fell to 3.3%. Importantly, concerns about tariffs continue to fade, and buying conditions for durable goods improved. This all suggests that consumers remain willing to spend despite frustration over elevated prices. While the sentiment trend is encouraging, context matters. The graph below shows the recent uptick in sentiment, but the overall level, as quantified by the University of Michigan and the While tax refunds and resilient consumption have helped sustain economic growth, the rebound in sentiment appears reflective of marginal inflation and tariff relief rather than a fundamental improvement in purchasing power.Over the past couple of months, the once-dominant Magnificent Seven stocks and other mega-cap stocks have stumbled relative to the small-cap, mid-cap, and value factors. Last Friday, we got our first hint that a rotation toward mega-cap stocks could be afoot. On that day, as shown in the first graphic below, large-cap growth stocks rose nearly half a percent, while small- and mid-cap growth and value fell by 1-2%. The second graphic highlights the slight turn in their relative and absolute scores. We suspect this may continue as the performance divergence has reached short-term extremes. Moreover, with five mega-cap stocks reporting earnings this week, the odds favor upside if earnings are strong, as their prices are discounted from recent highs. However, bear in mind that a rotation into mega-cap and large-cap growth stocks could be short-lived, and the factor performance of the last month or two could be the playbook for months to come. For now, it’s important to be patient and watch these factors, along with market sentiment, to help assess which factors will lead and lag in February and March.Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes.and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
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