Donald Trump appears to have a growing lock on the 2024 GOP primary based on national polls. But some political analysts and allies of GovRonDeSantis believe his pull in delegate-rich states could expose a possible vulnerability for Trump.
But some political analysts and allies of Gov. Ron DeSantis believe his pull in delegate-rich states could expose a vulnerability for the former president if the governor can go the distance.“I would say that DeSantis is definitely doing better in some of the states where that matters the most. So it's easy to forget that the primaries aren't about who gets the most votes.
One key caveat in many polls showing a strong performance from DeSantis is that he tends to fare stronger against Trump one on one than he does in a crowded field. For instance, a pair of Public Opinion Strategies polls released late last month showed DeSantis topping Trump 45% to 37% in Iowa while tying with him in New Hampshire. When other contenders were added, the pair tied in Iowa, and Trump led DeSantis in New Hampshire by about 12 percentage points.
Privately, DeSantis is reportedly optimistic that the field will clear out and that he can consolidate GOP opposition to the former president. His allies have also underscored that he’s not even in the race yet. DeSantis is expected to make his intentions known at some point after the Florida state legislature session concludes in May.
“I think Trump grows if he's able to knock out DeSantis. Philips said. “I'm not sure before the primary gets going, how much stronger he'll be because I think there's a fair amount of Republicans that might like him quite a bit, but they have really serious concerns about electability. … It's also a lot easier for a candidate that's going around 30% to gain more support than it is for a candidate that's polling around 52[%].
“I've never seen a collapse of this magnitude," Bruesewitz said. “He's a paper tiger, and that's being exposed. The GOP establishment thought he was their boy wonder that they could use a tool to take down the MAGA movement, but they're realizing that’s so wrong and they're desperate now.”
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