The fight isn’t over, but House Democrats’ campaign chief believes his party has at least avoided a redistricting doomsday that would’ve automatically handed the GOP the keys next January
“We’re doing a hell of a lot better than pundits thought we would,” DCCC Chair Rep. said in an interview Tuesday, adding that his team’s own internal projections put Democrats up “five to eight seats” better than they expected.
The strong maps for House Democrats in a handful of critical states come after a brutal winter for the party, which has now racked up 29 retirements, the most since the 1996 cycle. They’ve also watched the approval ratings for President Joe Biden tank, while economic concerns like inflation and snarled supply chains have rattled their most vulnerable members. The DCCC still outraised its GOP counterpart last quarter, but that cash advantage is less than previous cycles.
While Democrats hammered their GOP opponents for years for contorting congressional lines to their favor, they’re seeking whatever advantage they can find this year. “We’ve said throughout the process that Republicans won’t win a majority through redistricting,” said Michael McAdams, communications director for the House GOP campaign arm. “We are primed to retake the majority because Democrats are responsible for skyrocketing prices, a nationwide crime wave, and a crisis along our southern border.”
The battle to finalize House maps will likely drag on for several more months, with key states like Florida — where GOP lawmakers are mulling how far to go with their own gerrymandering — still to come. Another critical state is Pennsylvania, where Democrats, who control the governor’s mansion and have the upper hand in the courts, must eke out significant election wins to have at least some chance of keeping their majority.
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