Democrats' Chances of Beating GOP for Senate Control Get Worse—Analysis

Republicans need to flip two seats to reclaim the majority, with Montana being their best opportunity, according to a new poll.

The Democrats' path to retaining control of the Senate has become even more challenging, with a recent analysis revealing a significant setback.Cook Political Report shifted the Montana Senate race from 'Toss-Up' to 'Lean Republican' on Thursday, as polls show Democratic incumbent Senator Jon Tester is now at serious risk of losing his seat to Republican Tim Sheehy.

'Tester's current numbers are reminiscent of strong incumbents in recent cycles who have simply gotten dragged down by the undeniable partisan pull of the state, like neighboring North Dakota's Heidi Heitkamp in 2018 and Colorado's Cory Gardner in 2020,' Taylor writes.Since August, most polls have shown Republican challenger Tim Sheehy leading Jon Tester, according to poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight.

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