Democrats face an uphill fight to keep their majority in Congress and hope quick action on Biden's agenda will help them to defy historical trends that put the president's party at a disadvantage.
The court has freed Texas and other Southern states to add voting restrictions, and has given the GOP an edge in the battle to control Congress.The president’s party usually loses seats in Congress midterm. Among the big wipeouts: Under President Obama in 2010, Democrats lost control of the House in a tea-party fueled wave. In 1994, under President Clinton, Republicans took control of the House and Senate for the first time in 40 years.
But Republicans still have a “trifecta” — control of both legislative chambers and the governor’s mansion — in four battleground states: Florida, Texas, Georgia and North Carolina. Taken together, those states are picking up four additional House seats because of reapportionment. Some analysts believe redistricting alone could clear the way for Republicans to pick up the five seats they need.
In the Senate, the outlook for Democrats is challenging but somewhat less dire. Redistricting is not an issue in statewide elections. Retirement announcements so far have been more to the GOP’s disadvantage. Five Republicans have announced their retirement; three are in the battleground states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Ohio. No Democrats have announced plans to leave.
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