When asked about each candidate just by name, Tran received 41% of the support among likely voters compared to Steel’s 42%.
Rep. Michelle Steel , a two-term representative of California’s 45th Congressional District, may face trouble holding on to her seat, according to the poll. Her challenger, Democrat Derek Tran, is in a strong position against the incumbent, according to Tulchin Research, a Democratic consulting firm that describes itself asWhen asked about each candidate by name, Tran received 41% of the support among likely voters compared to Steel’s 42%.
The poll also indicates Tran is making progress with undecided voters. When those polled were given information about both candidates’ messaging, Tran polled 13 points ahead of Steel. His support grew by double digits to 52%, while Steel’s fell to 39%. “The data shows that voters are fed up with Michelle Steel’s record of corruption and voting to restrict women’s reproductive rights,” Orrin Evans, a spokesman for Tran’s campaign, told the. “Army veteran Derek Tran, the son of Vietnamese refugees, is ready to flip this seat and get to work for Southern California families.”Orange County’s “Little Saigon.” Steel was supported by 46% of Vietnamese voters, as compared to Tran’s 43% of support, despite Tran’s identity as a Vietnamese-American.
Still, the poll shows a shift in the inland Orange County district. The district was created in 2022, but a mixed bag of Republicans and Democrats have represented the cities that encompass it over time. The district has a heavy Asain-American population after redistricting.Some predict control of the House of Representatives could come down to a few races in California.
“It’s going to come down to these toss-ups, and Democrats would have to win around two-thirds of them to take the majority,”
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