Democratic 2020 race up for grabs: Half of voters have changed their minds since spring, poll shows

At this point of the campaign, most voters don’t have firm commitments.

Sanders remains a leading contender for the 2020 nomination, but he’s no longer the political phenom he was four years ago, forcing him to fight to break from a crowded Democratic field.

Sanders has staked out the left-most position in the contest. Warren shares many of his policy views. Biden has defined himself as a centrist. But nearly three times as many former Sanders backers moved to Biden as moved to Warren. Warren and Harris also both do better with self-described liberals or progressives than with Democrats who call themselves moderate or conservative. Biden dominates among the moderates, who make up about one quarter of primary voters, and among older voters — key reasons he has continued to lead the race.

About 9 in 10 of Biden’s supporters said he was the most likely of the candidates to pull off a victory. But so did large shares of voters who backed other candidates. About a third of Sanders supporters, for example, said Biden was the most electable. So did nearly 4 in 10 Harris backers and about one-third of Warren’s. Overall, more than half of Democratic primary voter picked Biden as the most electable candidate.

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