Census numbers from the Current Population Survey show spikes in 2018 turnout among young voters, highly educated voters and members of minority groups.
Voting was up across the board in 2018, compared to 2014, but turnout among 18- to 29-year-olds climbed to 35.6 percent in 2018 compared to 19.9 percent in 2014. That’s an increase of 15.7 percentage points.
In other words, the younger the voting group, the bigger the increase in turnout. And 2018 exit polls showed voters under the age of 30 leaned Democratic by more than 30 percentage points.Minority voters also saw big growth in their turnout. Among voters who have logged time in a college classroom, the increase in turnout was 12 points or more. Among those with some college, the increase was 12.8 points. For those who have earned a bachelor’s degree, the increase was 12.5 points. And among those with an advanced degree, turnout was up 12 points.And added together those numbers have some Democrats excited about their chances in 2020.
Take voters ages 18-29, their turnout was up 15.7 points in 2018 compared to 2014. Impressive. But the 2018 turnout number was still more than 10 points below the group’s presidential turnout in 2016. Asian and Hispanic midterm turnout was still off of their presidential turnout numbers by more than 7 percentage points.
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