The most deadly side effect of a tropical cyclone, the storm surge, is a sea level rise caused by the cyclone’s extremely low pressure over the ocean.
The height of the storm surge is measured above and beyond the normal sea level rises associated with tidal changes.
The Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre of La Reunion, who is responsible for the forecasts of tropical cyclones in the Mozambique channel, forecasts a storm surge between 3 and 5m for the areas to the south of the eye. Considering that the eye of Kenneth is forecast to pass 100-150km to the north of Pemba, the port city and surrounding coastal areas will face the dangerous storm surge tonight, which will push vast amounts of ocean water into Pemba Bay and further inland.
The majority of the Cabo Delgado province is at a major risk of large-scale flooding as a result of torrential rains and the coastal storm surge.Kenneth is expected to move over land as an intense tropical cyclone, equivalent to a category 3 hurricane.
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