A well above-average Atlantic hurricane season is expected this year, according to the latest modeling forecasts from Colorado State University researchers.
CSU’s Tropical Meteorology Project team said in a news release Thursday the odds of La Niña conditions across the Pacific have increased from their previous projections made in early April, with sea temperatures across the tropical and eastern Atlantic now warmer than normal, a weather configuration that is considered “quite favorable” for an active hurricane season.
The team is predicting 20 named storms and 10 hurricanes for the 2022 hurricane season, 5 of which are expected to reach major hurricane strength – hurricanes ranging from Category 3 to Category 5 – with winds of 111 miles per hour or greater. In 2020, for example, there were a total of 30 named storms and 14 hurricanes. Last year, there were only 21 storms and 7 hurricanes, 4 of which were classified as major, according to Klotzbach.
This year’s projections are still “well above the long-term average of about 14 storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes,” Klotzbach said.
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