Tonight, a new season of The Bachelor premieres on ABC. Suzana Somers, the data analyst behind the popular bachelordata account, has been prepping for this night for months. She spoke with allierileyjones to share her predictions
And, yes, she’ll be watching tonight, too. In the meantime, Somers has some surprising predictions for this year’s Bachelor, Zach Shallcross, and his 27 female contestants.The work starts months before the season starts.
As soon as the potential cast drops, we start collecting their first and last names, finding them on Instagram and on TikTok, and then we also start doing a little bit of research into their age, their careers, and their locations in the U.S. When the season’s actually starting, we prep a lot of our novelty data like the order of the limo entrances and other things that we can anticipate people will be thinking about during that first episode.Screen-time data and other novelty data like any time we see a contestant kiss the lead. Any time that we see something special happen, like a first-impression rose or a date, we document that. And then it’s go time: Once we have all that data, we start pumping up graphics and figuring out what stories we’re going to tell that week. We also keep a really close eye on social media, between Twitter and Instagram and Reddit and all the live threads, to see what people are discussing. And we’re adding TikTok this season because this is the first cast that we’re really seeing that is truly active on the platform. From there, we can find out what pieces of data that will be the most popular based on the trending questions and topics.Then, the day after, when the episode drops on all the streaming platforms, we can go in and extract the closed captioning, and we can do all of our word analysis. So that’s when we pull, like, how many cuss words there were in an episode versus how many times the wordIn your research on this season’s 27 contestants, what sticks out to you? Is there anyone we should pay special attention to? This is my favorite question because I truly feel that this is the most interesting cast that I have seen in years because we’re seeing a really big change. And it’s not that the cast is getting younger — I have to remind people this often, especially as somebody who started watching this show in college, which is over ten years ago now, that the cast is not getting younger; we’re just getting older. But with this cast in particular, what I’m finding very interesting is that we’re starting to see a change in the careers of who’s being cast on this show. The person I find most fascinating in this cast is. She is a contestant who I think went under the radar because on Instagram she has 121,000 followers but on TikTok she has close to 1 million followers, which is more than most people have been getting in the last two years on this show.There’s always the conversation whenever people watch the show of “Oh, they’re not here for the right reasons; they just want to be an influencer.” It’s always been that way, even before Instagram: People went on the show to become models, actresses,hosts. So what’s interesting about Victoria is that she’s already achieved what a lot of people go on this show to do, which is to become a full-time be-your-own-boss content creator. We’ve heard quite a bit about how restrictive and insane these contracts are that they have to sign to be on the show. I look at Victoria J., and I see somebody who’s giving up a lot of money to go on this show, and I don’t think it will necessarily benefit her. And there are a few other contestants who have a decent-sized following or are full-time influencers or they work in marketing or influencer marketing. They could be taking anywhere from six to nine months of a pay cut.
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