Crime statistics from the Bay Area’s three largest cities show a general downward trend, with one glaring exception.
The crime rate in the Bay Area’s three largest cities had its ups and downs since 2003, but Oakland has consistently had the highest rate, surging since 2022, fueled by a spike in car thefts. Oakland’s crime rate, consistently higher than the Bay Area’s other big cities, has surged since the COVID-19 pandemic, while the rates in San Francisco and San Jose have leveled off, an analysis of California Department of Justice data shows.
San Francisco’s overall 2023 crime rate has fluctuated, up 15 percent from 2020, down 16 percent from 2013, and up just 2 percent from 2003. San Francisco’s 2023 violent crime rate was up 16 percent from 2020, but down 27 percent from 2013 and 14 percent from 2003. San Francisco’s 2023 property crime rate was up 14 percent from 2020, down 15 percent from 2013 and up 4 percent from 2003.
In San Francisco, Mayor London Breed is battling to keep her job against competitive challengers in November, an effort that wasn’t helped by theThe Oakland mayor’s office and police department declined to comment on the recent surge in the city’s crime rate. Yet city reports suggest others share the blame. An April report by the city auditor on why Oakland failed to meet a deadline to secure a state retail theft prevention grant last year said the mayor “could have exercised leadership” in seeking the grant.
San Jose police also received a state retail theft reduction grant, for $8.5 million. San Jose police noted the department’s transition, along with others, to a different statewide crime reporting system complicates comparisons from 2022 to 2023., to toughen penalties for repeat property crime and drug offenders. The initiative would modify a measure voters passed 10 years ago, Proposition 47, that lowered penalties for property and drug crimes to reduce prison crowding.
George Fisher, a criminal law professor and the co-director of the Criminal Prosecution Clinic at Stanford University, said victims are not motivated to report crimes if they don’t believe police will act, and victim surveys present a truer picture in those cases.
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